10. Shohei Ohtani: The slugger hit another home run last night bringing his total to 52 for the season. There is more than a week of regular season action remaining. Incredibly, if Ohtani pitches next season while also hitting, his current statistics could be outshined. The Dodgers pitching staff is in tatters as the MLB playoffs approach, and it has been opined that Ohtani could pitch in the postseason. However, this option is highly unlikely. Ohtani is an outstanding athlete and has surpassed many expectations.
9. Beep, Beep: The purchasing of technology, including their production and logistics sources are likely coming into question in many diverse places around the globe. The detonation of pagers and walkie talkies used by the terrorist group Hezbollah which is largely based in Lebanon has certainly created panic about vulnerabilities. Contemplation in many nations regarding the buying of equipment that could be prone to spyware and other harmful acts is a reality.
8. Michael J. Saylor: MicroStrategy led by its Executive Chairman has added to their Bitcoin holdings. MicroStrategy is reported to have around 252,220 Bitcoins. The current value of BTC/USD is around 63,000 as of this writing. Part of Saylor's love for Bitcoin rests in his belief that value is due to scarcity, and secure durability as a store of value technologically. However, each Bitcoin holds 100 million Satoshis, the units each Bitcoin is divided by digitally as source code. Even if conservatively there are only 15 million Bitcoin in circulation in ten years time, 15 million times 100 million is 1.5e + 15, meaning more than a quadrillion Satoshis in circulation. That is not scarcity, particularly when quantum computers could create lightning quick digital trading via coding sources. The premise and concern for a major devaluation in Bitcoin is legitimate. Do you disagree?
7: Equity: Intel has apparently been made a sales offer by Qualcomm. Intel's market cap is 93.19 billion USD, and Qualcomm's is 188.18 billion USD. The biggest shareholders of Intel are Vanguard, Blackrock and State Street, interestingly enough Qualcomm's three biggest shareholders are identical. So if the largest shareholders are practically alike, it comes down to a management question, can Qualcomm run Intel better?
6. Closer: The U.S election will be in a little over six weeks times. The race for the White House according to many polls is very close and the outcome will depend on important swing States. There is still enough time for Harris and Trump to pick up votes, but also enough time for each to unwittingly make an error which can cost votes. Not only is the White House up for grabs, but the House and Senate are at stake too for the Democrats and Republicans.
5. Europe's ability to put on blinders as the Ukraine and Russia battle in a not so distant land, and bickering between E.U nations while finding no solutions for the conflict have many historical comparisons within the continent. The ability to look the other way as chaos grows and inflicts harm on neighbors has a long tradition in Europe. Since the Middle Ages into the present Europe has a significant track record of negotiating harmony and procuring tenuous treaties, which eventually lead to additional discord.
4. USD/JPY: The currency pair closed at nearly 143.850 yesterday. Analysts are trying to create narratives regarding the climb higher the past handful of days, this after the USD/JPY touched the 139.600 level approximately last Monday. Here's the thing: financial institutions that trade the Japanese Yen had positioned for a more dovish Federal Reserve and more hawkish BoJ. The Fed delivered their end of the bargain on Wednesday, confirming actions which had already been factored into the currency pair. The USD/JPY 'correction' higher is within equilibrium that financial institutions have to recalibrate as they make their new mid-term outlooks and decide how to shift their cash forward positions incrementally. The move higher has not been massive and is a natural reaction as large players rearrange their commercial paper. Incremental is the key word.
3. Energy Calm: WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil continue to trade slightly above their lower price realms, which saw long-term values in the second week of September tested. Current ratios are still flirting with technical considerations seen in the late spring of 2023. While hyperbole is communicated far and wide regarding potential Black Swan events in the Middle East which could cause Crude Oil to increase rapidly, the energy resources remain rather tranquil and seemingly transfixed on concerns about mid-term demand globally due to recessionary pressures.
2. All-Time Highs: Gold created new record values going into this weekend near 2,622.00. In September of 2022, gold was trading near 1,600.00 USD per ounce. The move higher in the precious metal has come on the heels of global inflation. Some also correctly point to a distrust of global central banks and fiscal concerns regarding the world's largest economies. The bullish run upwards in gold has been significant and the commodity will remain an important store of value for investors. Speculatively, some short and mid-term traders are wondering about gold's ability to maintain a trajectory skywards and if sideways price action and possible downturns will ensue for a while. Long-term investors remain serene.
1. Applause: The Federal Reserve issued an aggressive interest rate cut of 0.50%. The Fed seemingly is acting as if they are trying to please financial institutions because of past incompetence. The U.S central bank now needs economic data to behave according to their prescribed outlooks. What could go wrong? Another Federal Funds Rate cut is likely in November, after that a lot will depend on behavioral sentiment and data which may be affected by as of yet unknown leadership from the White House starting in early 2025. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sounded almost too optimistic about the U.S economy during his Press Conference this past Wednesday. The U.S Final GDP numbers coming this Thursday will prove interesting, the growth numbers carry an expected gain of 2.9%.
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