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India Insider: Strategic Memory and Why Unilateral Power is Resisted

India Insider: Strategic Memory and Why Unilateral Power is Resisted

After Independence, India was often described as “tilting” toward the Soviet Union. In reality, this was the outcome of India’s pursuit of Non-Alignment at a time when the United States was actively backing perceived rogue actors in South Asia, most notably Pakistan. What appeared as ideological preference was, in fact, strategic necessity born of hard experience.

The Soviet Union supported India on core security concerns when few others would. The first major Soviet defense deal was not merely a weapons sale. It included licensed production in India through Hindustan Aeronautics Limited, full technology transfer, and made India the first non-Communist country to receive the MiG-21. This distinction mattered. India was treated as a sovereign partner capable of absorbing technology, not as a dependent client expected to align unquestioningly.

By contrast, Washington’s alignment with Pakistan was driven by Cold War geopolitics rather than South Asian stability. Despite repeated military coups, wars with India, and regional destabilization, the United States armed Pakistan, provided diplomatic cover during conflicts, and sustained the relationship through military rule and nuclear proliferation. These experiences deeply shaped India’s strategic culture and explain its enduring emphasis on autonomy, redundancy, and diversified partnerships rather than alliance dependency.

This history is one of the central reasons India resists Washington dictating regional dynamics. South Asia, in New Delhi’s view, is not a chessboard for external powers to reorder at will.

Democratic Republic of the Congo Example

The same pattern is visible beyond Asia. Take the Democratic Republic of Congo. After decades of horrific colonial exploitation, the Belgians realized by the mid-20th century that they could not hold on indefinitely and exited abruptly, having never prepared the country for self-rule. What they left behind was not independence, but a political vacuum. The United States and the United Nations intervened, but their actions were shaped less by concern for Congolese society than by geopolitical rivalry, ideological competition, and racial hierarchy.

The assassination of Patrice Lumumba destroyed the Republic of the Congo’s (as it was known then) only credible attempt at building a unified nationalist state at independence. The dictatorship of Mobutu Sese Seko that followed did not merely fail to develop institutions; it actively hollowed them out. Corruption became a governing principle, loyalty replaced competence, and the state turned into a vehicle for extraction. Today’s instability in the Democratic Republic of the Congo is not a governance failure in isolation—it is the predictable outcome of a political system designed to rule without building state capacity. For countries like India, this is not ancient history, it is a warning.

Washington’s unilateralism reinforces this mistrust:

The recent military operation to remove Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro without U.S Congress authorization, international legal justification, or an imminent threat would have been unthinkable as recently as the first Trump administration. It became possible in 2026 only because of congressional capitulation, judicial immunity, and the transformation of an apolitical defense establishment into a politicized instrument of executive power. To much of the world, this signals that restraint is no longer embedded in American decision making.

Europe exposes another contradiction. The post war order was built on liberal democracy and collective security through NATO. When that order is weakened by unilateral action, trust erodes, even among allies expected to align automatically.

Even before Trump, the U.S – India relationship remained cordial rather than fully strategic. Before 9/11, India was the most natural regional ally against Al-Qaeda, yet Washington lacked patience and local understanding to navigate India’s complex democracy and nationalism. That failure was not tactical, it was conceptual.

India’s neutrality today is deliberate:

It prioritizes diplomacy over military actions that violate international law. India sees a multipolar world emerging, not as disorder, but as the end of unchecked unilateral supremacy. This is not ambiguity. It is a strategic memory.

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AMT Top Ten Miscellaneous Morsels for 5th of January 2024

AMT Top Ten Miscellaneous Morsels for 5th of January 2024

10. Book: Truth to Power – My Three Years Inside Eskom by Andre de Ruyter, an insider’s account about South Africa’s public energy company amidst corruption, mismanagement and scandal.

9. NBA: Last night’s Milwaukee and San Antonio game was the first ‘match’ of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Victor Wembanyama. Basketball is global and spectacular.

8. Noise: Clickbait media headlines about nervous results in financial markets this week have been exaggerated.

7. Horn of Africa: Ethiopia and Somalia are arguing about a port passage through ‘Somaliland’, astute eyes should be kept on the region and Egypt.

6. Diplomacy: U.S foreign policy has delivered poor statesmanship with India recently, allowing Russia to reinitiate its longstanding relationship with the nation.

5. Taiwan: Presidential election is on the 13th of January. President Tsai Ing-wen is not eligible to run again because she has now served two terms.

4. USD/JPY has ebbed higher and next week’s results promise to be rather insightful regarding the outlooks of financial institutions. Reversals coming?

3. China: Economic concerns in the Asian giant continue to mount as deflation threatens to become intractable and investors fret.

2. Data: U.S jobs numbers coming today, the results are anticipated to be slightly weaker. A reaction in the broad markets is certain, but it is full market volume next week which will set the tone.

1. Outlook: Anxious short-term trading results from the past two weeks are likely going to be confronted by optimism and risk appetite next week. Who will win?