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AMT Top Ten Miscellaneous Pre-Xmas Thoughts for 22nd of Dec.

AMT Top Ten Miscellaneous Pre-Xmas Thoughts for 22nd of Dec.

10. Music: The Nutcracker by Pyotr Ilyich Tchaikovsky via Simon Rattle and the Berliner Philharmoniker.

9. Book: Zhou Enlai: The Last Perfect Revolutionary by Gao Wenqian.

8. Mobile Gaming: Revenues from ‘gaming on the go’ in 2023, via an Electronics Weekly article, is estimated to be 92.6 billion USD worldwide. Honor of Kings via Tencent leads the pack.

7. Data: U.S Final GDP quarterly numbers came in at 4.9%, missing its estimate of 5.2%. Final GDP Price Index quarterly results were 3.3%, below the anticipated mark of 3.6%. Canada will release its GDP numbers today for those paying attention.

6. USD: The greenback continues to produce incremental declines. Yesterday’s ‘weaker’ U.S GDP numbers helped solidify a bearish USD outlook mid-term.

5. Trading Volumes: Speculators who insist on wagering today need to understand many financial institutions are closing early. ‘Thin’ holiday markets can be extremely quiet and then become volatile without warning.

4. Global Risk: As traders relax during their holiday break, they should monitor news about the Red Sea for potential problems caused by the Houthis rebels from Yemen.

3. China: Economic concerns are mounting for the nation. The Shanghai Composite is approaching lows last seen in October of 2022.

2. Holiday Markets: U.S equity indices continue to show solid risk appetite. S&P 500 is now approaching all-time highs seen in 2022. Dow Jones 30 is at a record level. Nasdaq Composite trend still bullish.

1. Thank you: We wish all readers who are celebrating Christmas a fantastic holiday.

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AMT Top Ten Miscellaneous Views for the 15th of December

AMT Top Ten Miscellaneous Views for the 15th of December

10. Book: Doctor Zhivago by Boris Pasternak.

9. Music: Moanin’ – Charles Mingus Big Band 93 Nostalgia in Times Square. Fantastic jazz.

8. Cryptocurrencies: Game of double dare continues as BTC/USD trades near 42,600.00. ETH/USD resides around 2,250.00. USDT remains at 1.00 and BNB/USD (yes, from the much criticized Binance operation) hovers near 250.00. Be careful out there, folks.

7. Argentina: Newly elected President Javier Milei has begun to enact economic reforms as the nation’s citizens and businesses hunger for better days. Will the Argentine Peso begin to stabilize?

6. South Africa: As the nation celebrates a public holiday for its Rugby World Cup victory today, it should be asked if the people are ready to vote for a political change in 2024? Or have things not gotten bad enough yet?

5. Central Banks: Federal Reserve ‘officially’ turned to a neutral/ almost soft monetary policy stance on Wednesday, the BoE and ECB followed Fed’s dance steps yesterday. GBP and EUR have gained and look intent to flirt with July 2023 values.

4. U.S Treasuries: Yields continue to erode and are near values seen half a year ago, with further decreases seemingly ready to occur mid-term.

3. Commodities: Gold is producing near-term speculative upwards muscle. Copper traders appear to be eyeing higher values.

2. JPY: Price velocity has propelled the USD/JPY to fresh lows, this as the currency pair gains speculative interest and behavioral sentiment shifts.

1. All Time Value: Dow Jones Industrials has achieved record heights. Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indices at one year highs as investors show risk appetite.

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Trading Tips: Perspectives and Gaining Behavioral Sentiment

Trading Tips: Perspectives and Gaining Behavioral Sentiment

Data is everywhere. AI has helped increase the level of information accessible to day traders. However, the quality of the information and its insights remains questionable – suspect. Systems relying on technical, fundamentals, algos, and the magic word ‘quants’ are tools which can help a person make their decisions. Unfortunately they do not guarantee you are going to make money.

Profitable results in trading remain difficult to attain. Day traders – speculators – continue to look for a golden goose. Something or someone who can deliver profits on a steady basis remains hard to find. This article is to help you gain perspective, it is a trading tip. There are no secrets of the temple coming, but it may be time you stop looking for secrets which do not exist.

Nasdaq Composite Six Months Chart as of 12th August 2023

Trying to look forward and gaining genuine insights remains tough. Technical charts, fundamentals, opinions from experts all remain problematic to actually use in real time. The markets in a sense are alive, the environment is constantly changing. The moment information is shared it becomes old. Time and price action move fast. You can slow down the ‘game of trading’ by using different perspectives and practicing new ways to consider the dynamic values that are in flux that you are witnessing.

Behavioral sentiment – insights – regarding what the largest traders are going to do in the short, mid and long-term would be relevant. Understanding the asset you want to trade is important, understanding the inclination of the marketplace, price action – velocity – and timeframes of potential volatility is crucial. A key component would be to find a way to time a trade knowing what direction an asset is going to move.

This remains elusive for nearly all traders.

Again, this particular article is not going to solve this problem for you. It is to acknowledge the problem exists. We can have all the data in the world, past performances statistics, know what the markets are predicted to do, but the ‘game’ still needs to be played. Over 90% of day traders loss their money and eventually give up. Traders wagering on the markets need a way to put the odds of success in their favor. Folks may wonder why angrymetatraders.com writes about fantasy sports within its culture/ sports topics, it is because there is a correlation to sports and financial markets for speculators.

Day traders in many ways are not really participating in the marketplace, they are betting on the outcome of the results. The tiny trades of the majority of retail speculators are not affecting price action, sometimes the trades aren’t even being put into the real market – they are being traded virtually. Read about the topic B book trading within our articles if you have time.

Like sports gamblers who are not playing in the game, speculators are using their perceived knowledge of financial assets and past results to bet on future outcomes. A key ingredient to having successful trades that work in the financial markets is to have solid knowledge and a sense of what can develop as assets trade on a particular day. There are complexities within each sector, like every game being played in a variety of sports.

Gamblers not only bet on the outcome of the game, they also bet on the outcome of different components within the ‘contest’ – player stats, halftime scores, turnovers. Traders can do the same thing by speculating on an asset over different timeframes, and they can sometimes trade what are known as ‘options’ too, this to hedge on their positions or sometimes simply wager on their belief that a Forex pair or a share (stock) price is going to move in different ways during a certain period of time.

Understanding behavioral sentiment is important. The meshing of technical interpretation with fundamental data, and the way it affects perception and the tendencies of potential decisions to be made regarding outcomes is not easy. However, grasping the outlook of other financial market participants can improve a day traders results, if they put effort into perspectives and apply this to their risk taking tactics.

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NASDAQ Composite: Bearish Trend Testing Trading Inexperience

NASDAQ Composite: Bearish Trend Testing Trading Inexperience

The NASDAQ Composite has been within the grasp of a selling trend since late November of 2021, and traders who feel the urge to buy should understand their goals and time frames clearly.

The NASDAQ Composite has seen a strong wave of selling take hold of its equities since the later stage of 2021. Investors have likely been spooked by inflation and high PE ratios which correlate into questionable values and fears of over exuberance and reactions. The combination of U.S Federal Reserve policy which is certainly having an effect on behavioral sentiment is problematic too. Investors are not fans of unclear outlooks and current economic conditions are definitely causing nervous sentiment.

Many traders and investors have not experienced a sincere bear market during their financial careers. Indices and their equities have produced a rather steady upwards vehicle for years. The thought that an equity index can actually go down for a long duration, without significant reversals higher following is troubling and new for many people. Timing new trends is exceptionally hard. An investor who has a ten year outlook certainly brings a different perspective to buying the NASDAQ Composite compared to a day trader who is likely maneuvering in the index with short term wagers using CFDs.

Current market conditions in the NASDAQ and other major global equity indices remain challenging and this will likely continue into early this summer. The U.S Federal Reserve will be conducting an FOMC meeting in mid-June and another interest rate hike is likely being considered. A potential rate hike of 0.50% may be seen. The potential of this additional hike to the current interest rate of 1.00% has likely been digested into the marketplace by financial institutions, but that is not the end of the troubling concerns.

Technical traders who watch the daily results of the NASDAQ Composite and other indices may attempt to speculate on the gyrations of their moves based on short term volatility. These traders should understand they are also battling large institutional traders who use complex algorithms to pursue their positions. The combination of nervous equity markets caused by uncertain economic outlooks, while it waits on the pronouncements of the U.S Federal Reserve are bound to deliver more nervous results in the NASDAQ Composite and other global equity indices.

While it may be accepted that the U.S Fed will raise interest rates again in June, the greater question that financial institutions want answered is what the U.S central bank’s outlook on additional interest rate hikes in the summer and fall will be. Inflation in the U.S remains troubling high. The rising costs of logistics, food and consumer goods are largely a manifestation of higher energy costs.

Yes, coronavirus has been a large ingredient too, regarding inflation and its current effect on employment and the resulting lack of workers is a component in the equation due to new perspectives among the workforce. The shortage of employable labor has also sparked concerns about demographics for the future. While the virus and its effects seem to have eroded in the West for the time being, unfortunately there are concerns regarding a potentially large problem in China if coronavirus infections continue to occur there. Shutdowns in China due to the virus can affect supply and commodities prices globally.

The costs of higher energy and commodity prices are something that companies and consumers will have to deal with in the months ahead. Disinflation is likely to come, but it may take a handful of months more. It is a complex puzzle and traders who want to bet on short term results will have to endure sudden storms of volatility which are likely to arise. Unanswered questions await and because of the shadows that hover over the economic landscape, clarity is not going to be delivered soon.