Wars Against America 20260903a

The Wars Against America

Kicking the Can Down the Road is a Public Policy Alternative

Opinion: The following article is commentary and its views are solely those of the author. This article was first published the 2nd of September via The Angry Demagogue.

We recently met a young Russian citizen and when asked when the war with Ukraine will end, the response was “Ukraine is just a place, the war is against America”. This Russian citizen was from a city in Siberia, a “regular” Russian with no official contacts that we know of but who, it seems is a proud Russian who “understands” that her leader, Vladimir Putin, is at war with America, who wants to harm and destroy Russia and Russian religion and culture. This war of the West, now the United States, against Russia goes back centuries in the Russian mind.

The Wars Against America: Kicking the Can Down the Road is a Public Policy Alternative

For nearly five decades the Islamic Republic of Iran has planned and prepared to fight the Great Satan, the United States, with the Little Satan, Israel, just a place, a small one bomb country to destroy en-route to the greater, the greatest enemy. This is not speculation but is written into the DNA of the Islamic Republic of Iran in all their announcements and policies over the last, nearly, 50 years.

Way back in my college years in the late 1970’s in one of my first political science courses we learned of China’s desire for “hegemony” in their neighborhood. It was the first time I heard the word hegemony and have always associated it with the Chinese Communist Party and their desire to control the land masses and sea lanes that are near it – what we now call the Indo-Pacific. China to this day not only claims Taiwan as part of its rightful territory but of course Tibet, border areas with India and the entirety of the South China Sea including major U.S allies like Philippines. The CCP has also never given up its desire for revenge against Japanese atrocities of WWII and control of the Korean peninsula – or eastern Russia, for that matter.

And yet, irrespective of all the evidence gathered over the centuries and especially over the last decades since the cold war ended, there are still those in the American establishment, left and right, who feel that the United States can avoid what are naively called “foreign entanglements”. However, if America does not go “there”, the world will come to its shores. Even the Monroe Doctrine at its height did not keep non-Western hemisphere militaries away from the United States.

With the advent of drone warfare, hypersonic missiles, hacking of infrastructure and the battle over AI, there is no avoiding American involvement in global affairs unless it wants to be a nation subservient to China, Russia and Iran – and even then, subservient states rarely live in peace. Another lesson we learned in Political Science 101 was that “power abhors a vacuum”. An American retrenchment will not mean a world at peace. Much as Israel learned it cannot just “separate” from the Gazans, America will learn it can’t just ignore the world around it.

American governments have decided on a “kick the can down the road” organizing principle for nearly all domestic and foreign policy. There seems to be an assumption amongst American politicians and policy makers that American ingenuity can always solve the problem, no matter how late it gets. Social Security is in trouble, the deficit has reached a point where just the interest is $1 trillion, North Korea has multiple nuclear weapons, Iran is as close as it could get, Russia is waging (indirect) war in western Europe and the United States (see: Russian hacking), China is waging a propaganda campaign against American AI that AI executives seem overeager to support by their sci-fi fear mongering and there is no sense of urgency amongst American politicians.

The Vice President wonders aloud about the “harm” to America that the US Dollar as the reserve currency recieves, not thinking beyond the simplistic price of exports. The lower cost of energy and minerals due to their being priced in Dollars does not seem to be a net gain for the US in his eyes. The Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) of course wants to bankrupt America and the Democratic party does not have the will to oppose them. The Michigan AG wants Jews to sacrifice themselves because otherwise the planet will be uninhabitable and the State of California can’t seem to build houses anymore.

The Vance-Kushner-Qatar cabal control American policy in the Persian Gulf up to the point where President Trump gets too annoyed at Iranian duplicity and he sicks American airpower on them. Then it returns as the deals that this group want to do with Qatar (and Turkey) are too much for them to resist as they lead American deeper into subservient status. They don’t seem to realize that the Qatari-Turkish attempt to break the American-Israeli relationship is being done to weaken the American presence in the Middle East by making it dependent upon Qatar. 

Syria’s Islamist leader is still building his Islamist army while Turkey presents him to the world as the moderate who just wants to build a nice country. What is happening though, is that Qatar and Turkey are having America sponsor the Moslem Brotherhood. It is not the American war against Iran that has caused strategic overreach but the potential deals that have left the world’s greatest free power at the behest of a dessert kingdom with no people but lots of ready cash. Deals for pipelines and railways through the Middle Eastern desert are apparently more important for American success than the technology coming out of Israel.

America cannot avoid the world since the world will not avoid America. America is the main target of all revisionist States, whether it likes it or not.

Everyone is waiting until after the mid-terms for something to happen, but then the 2028 presidential campaign starts. The waiting needs to stop regarding Iran, Russia, China, defense manufacturing and the fiscal situation. As Yogi Berra brilliantly stated – “it gets late early out there”.

Disclaimer: the views expressed in this opinion article are solely those of the author, and not necessarily the opinions reflected by angrymetatraders.com or its associated parties.

Follow Ira Slomowitz via The Angry Demagogue on Substack https://iraslomowitz.substack.com/

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China’s Economic Future: Speculation & Transparency Question

China's Economic Future: Speculation & Transparency Question

China’s economy has been underperforming for a handful of years. Growth has not only stagnated but has experienced a downturn, deflation has been experienced. Strong leadership from Xi Jinping has led to a firm approach regarding the management of China’s political and economic affairs. Until this year, Xi’s grip on power had grown significantly since he took office as the President and General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party in 2012, but his control appears to be waning. Yet even as lackluster Chinese economic data has persisted, the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE 000001) has mirrored many global equity indices and done remarkably well since April of this year.

The SSE is near 3,826 currently. In early April the SSE was around 3,080, and in the middle of September 2024 the Shanghai Composite Index was close to 2,700, which was clearly within sight of long-term lows. The current heights of the SSE have not been seen since August of 2015. Yes, the Shanghai Composite Index was over 5,000 in April of 2015 and also in 2007. The point being that highs being traversed have not been seen in a long time. But is the positive speculation in the SSE a sign that economic conditions and political considerations in China are positive? Where is the transparency?

Shanghai Composite Index Five Year Chart as of 24th August 2025

China’s ability to create significant growth over the past four decades has transformed the nation into a global powerhouse economically and militarily. Yet, the past few years have begun to show cracks in the single handed approach to centralized decision making regarding the economy, government data presented has become suspicious. Rampant speculative forces in the SSE have been seen before. Is now the time to buy more Chinese equities or is it time to become cautious? Reliable statistics remain a troublesome aspect for investors.

China’s real estate market collapsed under the weight of too much building and speculative buying of apartments. Yes, inflated property and sudden deflation has been seen in capitalist countries in the past and will be witnessed again in the future. But the bubble in Chinese real estate and its crash also points out problems regarding a lack of transparency. While the Chinese government has tried to fix the fiscal problems caused by the real estate implosion, it has also created significant fractures within its banking system, which are confronting the Chinese government and public, and sometimes feels like a coverup trying to hide bad news. When will there be a recovery in the China real estate sector, is the worst of the crisis fixed?

Chinese political questions and some evidentiary circumstances point to intriguing considerations. There is evidence in China that a change of leadership is progressing. In the past couple of months small hints have been allowed to be published via China’s state media, the Xinhua News Agency. Rule changes have been made regarding decision making processes in the Chinese Communist Party, this was published by Xinhua in late June and republished by the South China Morning Post of Hong Kong in early July. While paraphrasing, both news entities expressed that rule changes meant Xi Jinping would officially have to delegate more decision making.

USD/CNY One Year Chart as of 24th August 2025

Speculation is growing beyond a mere whisper that the Chinese military has become a wildcard and a source of power that is potentially ready to help remove Xi Jinping. The military apparently is not supporting Xi and wants a more collective approach to decision making via the Chinese government. Yes admittedly, this information can be described as being from news services and podcasts that do not favor the Chinese government, but they seem to be singing in unison. It appears that China’s People’s Liberation Army have decided it is time for a change and is ready to play a role in the selection of new Chinese leadership.

The 80th Anniversary Victory Day Parade in Beijing will be held on the 3rd of September, what role will Xi Jinping play in the show of military force? Will it become apparent that Xi is merely a figurehead until an official decision is made on how the Chinese Communist Party will be led? Importantly, the 15th Five Year Planning Conclave for the Chinese Communist Party will be held in October and this is where a leadership change could take place including the official removal of Xi Jinping.

There appears to be – yes, via the dissident information heard, two factions within the Chinese Communist Party vying for power – hardliners and reformers. The army still hasn’t made it clear if they are backing the hardliners or the reformers. What is evident however via many publications, is that China’s PLA has decided along with other important leadership circles in China’s Communist Party that Xi had too much control and they want a more collective leadership.

Regarding the Chinese economy which has undergone a period of stagnation and lackluster results the past handful of years under Xi’s strong centralized approach, something big is about to happen which will have ramifications for the next five years. Who will lead China? The hardliners who are true believers in ideological communism or reformers who want China to move towards more of a market economy? This is a huge question. This type of political infighting has been seen in China during the past four decades and played a role in key leadership changes. It is not a conspiracy plot which is being sounded, it is the possibility of a transfer of power which happens cyclically in many nations when changes are warranted.

China’s Shanghai Index has done well recently. Perhaps this is a correlation reflecting optimism being sparked globally in equities in recent months. Or is it also possible that some folks in the know are betting on the reformists to take control of the Chinese government? Tariff concerns have seemingly been brushed to the side in China and something bigger is certainly at play. President Donald Trump is not the story here. Investors participating in China need to pay attention to the political changes that seem to be brewing. While speculation has certainly brought the Shanghai Composite Index to long-term highs, transparency from China is a concern economically and politically and there will be an impact if changes to leadership occur.